ECB QE Monitor - April 2021

Friday 09 April 2021

Research / Market

  • ECB PEPP & APP: pace of purchases is accelerating
    • In March, total net purchase pace was €96.8bn vs. €81bn in February and €71bn in January, a clear uptick, which is really in line with our forecasts of €90-100bn/month.
    • PEPP: pace of monthly buying picked to €73.5bn in March from €53bn in February. As the path increased just in the weeks following the ECB meeting, March is likely to position itself between Jan-Feb lower levels (on average monthly EUR 55bn) and April-June monthly flows expected to be in EUR 80-90bn higher range.
    • APP: the ECB settled €23.3bn in March vs. €21bn in February, above the target pace of €20bn/month.

Read more

Other news

Vignette - EU value
29/03/2021 Research / Market

European equity value has further to go in this cycle

Initiated in April based on a cheap quality cyclical stock rebound, the value rotation in Europe has accelerated, favouring deep value names – the segment most impacted by the Covid-19 crisis – in early November, after the announcement of the development of an effective vaccine. Since the beginning of this year, we are in the third stage, led by financials and banks in particular, supported by higher rates and inflation expectations. This means that the rotation is broadening.