- Global Investment Views - November 2019
Global Investment Views - November 2019
Tuesday 22 October 2019
Research / Market
Limbo for markets will not last forever
Bad but not so bad news left the market in a limbo: equity markets were more or less flat in the month, treasury yields remained in the 1.5 / 1.8 range and credit spreads also remained within the trading range of the last few months. However, markets oscillated between weak US and Eurozone numbers, prospects of a US-China ‘mini-deal’ and tariffs on Europe. Geopolitics and Trump’s impeachment was in limelight as Turkey started a military offensive in Syria. China witnessed subdued data, only partially offset by policy measures.
CIO views: High conviction ideas from Amundi Global Investment Committee.
Factor Investing and ESG in the Corporate Bond Market Before and During the COVID-19 Crisis
The objective of this paper is to illustrate the factor investing space in corporate bonds before and during the COVID-19 crisis and is the natural extension of our prior analysis on both the new alternative credit factors and the ESG integration in credit.
Europe, US and China tomorrow: Will it be possible to avoid geopolitical and economic traps?
There are many pitfalls looming. Some concern China, the United States and Europe, while others are more targeted, notably on China or on the relationship between China and the United States. Some traps concern geopolitics (the Thucydides trap, the Kindleberger trap, the Herodotus trap, the Tacitus trap, the Chamberlain - Daladier trap and the cold war trap), while others deal with purely economic issues (the middle-income trap, the inflation trap, the stagflation trap and the debt trap).
Asset Class Return Forecasts - Q4 - 2020
As noted in our previous reports the much-awaited global recovery from the onset of Covid-19 is facing significant headwinds. As the fallout from the crisis becomes clearer in scope and view, ensuing challenges remain daunting. The interplay between the factors will continue to evolve having an effect in the short and medium-term, the monitoring of these relationships will remain at the forefront of future communications.