Global Investment Views - November 2019

Tuesday 22 October 2019

Research / Market

Limbo for markets will not last forever

Bad but not so bad news left the market in a limbo: equity markets were more or less flat in the month, treasury yields remained in the 1.5 / 1.8 range and credit spreads also remained within the trading range of the last few months. However, markets oscillated between weak US and Eurozone numbers, prospects of a US-China ‘mini-deal’ and tariffs on Europe. Geopolitics and Trump’s impeachment was in limelight as Turkey started a military offensive in Syria. China witnessed subdued data, only partially offset by policy measures.


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Other news

Vignette- Europe, US and China tomorrow
16/11/2020 Research / Market

Europe, US and China tomorrow: Will it be possible to avoid geopolitical and economic traps?

There are many pitfalls looming. Some concern China, the United States and Europe, while others are more targeted, notably on China or on the relationship between China and the United States. Some traps concern geopolitics (the Thucydides trap, the Kindleberger trap, the Herodotus trap, the Tacitus trap, the Chamberlain - Daladier trap and the cold war trap), while others deal with  purely economic issues (the middle-income trap, the inflation trap, the stagflation trap and the debt trap).